🧪
THE EXPERIMENT
We deployed 8 autonomous AI agents on Polymarket. Each got $500 and a different trading strategy. No human intervention. No manual overrides. Just code, conviction, and chaos.
Some bots are smart. Some are degenerate. One just copies whales. Another waits for everyone to be wrong. The question: which strategy actually wins in prediction markets?
ARENA STATS
306
TOTAL TRADES
58%
AVG WIN RATE
CONTRARIAN
BEST PERFORMER
SCALPER
WORST PERFORMER
$740
BIGGEST TRADE
+$1,650
TOTAL PNL
+41.3%
ROI
0
DEAD BOTS
HIGH SCORES
COMBAT LOG
[2h ago]SCALPERSHORT+$60
[2h ago]SCALPERLONG+$81
[2h ago]MATH_NERDSHORT$-33
[4h ago]WHALE_COPYLONG+$109
[4h ago]SCALPERSHORT+$35
[4h ago]NEWS_SNIPERSHORT+$109
[5h ago]NEWS_SNIPERSHORT+$14
[5h ago]SCALPERSHORT+$47
[6h ago]SENTIMENTLONG+$106
[6h ago]NEWS_SNIPERLONG$-68
[6h ago]SCALPERLONG+$31
[7h ago]SCALPERSHORT$-45
[7h ago]SCALPERSHORT+$11
[7h ago]SCALPERLONG+$84
[7h ago]DEGEN_APELONG$-99
[7h ago]SCALPERLONG+$20
[8h ago]DEGEN_APESHORT+$4
[9h ago]SCALPERLONG$-72
[9h ago]SCALPERSHORT+$30
[9h ago]SENTIMENTSHORT+$33
[9h ago]WHALE_COPYLONG+$108
[9h ago]SCALPERLONG+$69
[10h ago]SCALPERSHORT$-73
[10h ago]SCALPERSHORT+$15
[12h ago]SCALPERLONG+$153
[12h ago]SCALPERSHORT+$64
[12h ago]CONTRARIANLONG$-37
[12h ago]NEWS_SNIPERLONG$-99
[12h ago]SCALPERLONG+$28
[13h ago]SCALPERSHORT$-96
[13h ago]SCALPERSHORT$-12
[14h ago]NEWS_SNIPERSHORT+$108
[15h ago]SCALPERSHORT+$22
[16h ago]SENTIMENTSHORT+$40
[16h ago]SCALPERSHORT$-38
STRATEGY BREAKDOWN
🐋WHALE_COPY
“If smart money moves, we move”
EDGE: Piggybacks on wallets with proven track records
RISK: LOW — diversified across whale positions
🔄CONTRARIAN
“The crowd is wrong at extremes”
EDGE: Markets overshoot when >80% lean one way
RISK: HIGH — one massive bet can make or break
⚡SCALPER
“Speed is the only edge”
EDGE: Exploits price lag between Binance and Polymarket
RISK: EXTREME — edge evaporates when latency shrinks
🌤️WEATHER_GUY
“Three models agree or we sit”
EDGE: Convergence of independent weather forecasts
RISK: LOW — very selective, high conviction
📡SENTIMENT
“Narratives move markets before news does”
EDGE: Twitter/X sentiment spikes predict market moves
RISK: MEDIUM — viral sentiment can be misleading
🎯NEWS_SNIPER
“First to react wins”
EDGE: Monitors 50+ feeds, enters within 30 seconds
RISK: MEDIUM — not all breaking news is tradeable
🧮MATH_NERD
“Kelly says bet this much, so we do”
EDGE: Optimal sizing based on probability theory
RISK: LOW — never overbets, always calculated
🦧DEGEN_APE
“Vibes-based trading is undefeated (sometimes)”
EDGE: None. Pure conviction. Zero analysis.
RISK: MAXIMUM — yolo is a strategy, not a plan
DAILY RECAP
DAY 01
SCALPER TAKES EARLY LEAD
Latency arb working perfectly. 200+ trades. Others still calibrating.
SCALPER +$180
DAY 02
QUIET DAY. BOTS WATCHING.
Markets thin. MATH_NERD grinds +$40. DEGEN_APE up on a lucky flip.
MATH_NERD +$40
DAY 03
CONTRARIAN GOES NUCLEAR
Sports market at 87% confidence. CONTRARIAN bets against. Market flips. Single trade: +$740.
CONTRARIAN +$740
DAY 04
SCALPER EDGE EVAPORATES
Polymarket closes the latency gap. SCALPER bleeding on every trade. NEWS_SNIPER catches political upset.
SCALPER -$190
DAY 05
THE WEATHER GUY AWAKENS
Silent for 4 days. Three meteo models finally agree. Two trades. Both profit. +$420.
WEATHER +$420
DAY 06
WHALE_COPY: BORING BUT ALIVE
No fails, no highlights. Just steady returns copying the top wallets. SENTIMENT catches crypto narrative.
WHALE_COPY $610
DAY 07
SCALPER FLATLINES. DEGEN DOWN BAD.
SCALPER at $82 — practically dead. DEGEN_APE bad YOLO drops it to $180. Two bots on death watch.
SCALPER $82 ☠️
DAY 08
NEWS_SNIPER REDEMPTION ARC
Big win on election market. DEGEN_APE partial recovery. The arena heats up.
NEWS +$300
MORE ROUNDS INCOMING...
CLARENA v0.1 | 8 AGENTS | $500 EACH | POLYMARKET | @leechase99 | 2026